Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:14:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb7d…86f6
sports · 62 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$352 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$564 · open −$152
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,194
Realized+$564
Unrealized−$152
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses21 / 18
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$63
Open positions23
Markets (closed)39 / 62
History coverage25d
Avg bet$347
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 23 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$336
7 days+$560
14 days+$417
30 days+$564
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 88¢ 90¢ $5,000 $5,072 +$72 (+1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 79¢ 62¢ $1,500 $1,190 −$310 (-21%)
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $1,000 $1,052 +$52 (+5%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 76¢ 88¢ $316 $366 +$50 (+16%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 81¢ 82¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? No 48¢ 80¢ $50 $83 +$33 (+66%)
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? Yes 41¢ 32¢ $100 $80 −$20 (-20%)
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? No 47¢ 42¢ $50 $45 −$5 (-11%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-2%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? Yes 50¢ 49¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-2%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+71%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? Yes 73¢ 26¢ $40 $14 −$26 (-65%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? Yes 19¢ 20¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-15%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-17%)
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? Yes 30¢ 20¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-34%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $269 +$92 +34%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $518 +$512 +99%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $51 +$30 +60%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $102 +$176 +172%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 13 $1,000 −$436 -44%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$111 +109%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $25 +$44 +172%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$22 +43%
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $101 +$79 +78%
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 11 $51 −$44 -87%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 10 $456 +$66 +14%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 10 $50 +$44 +89%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 07 $51 −$14 -27%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $101 +$58 +57%
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Jun 07 $202 +$68 +34%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 07 $51 −$50 -99%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 03 $100 +$35 +35%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $25 +$12 +48%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 02 $101 −$100 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $101 +$25 +24%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $507 −$500 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $51 −$50 -99%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $6,200 +$416 +7%
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid May 31 $50 −$50 -99%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? May 31 $28 −$28 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $102 +$131 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 28 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 28 $5 −$5 -95%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 28 $102 −$100 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 28 $102 −$100 -98%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 28 $1,000 +$32 +3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? May 27 $1,170 +$75 +6%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 21 $26 +$34 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 21 $26 −$26 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 20 $49 +$210 +424%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 74% −$71
sports 13% +$889
politics 5% +$123
other 4% −$23
crypto 3% −$507
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $2,000 1h
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 1h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $15 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $26 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $25 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? SELL No 35¢ $564 25h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $102 26h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $101 47h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $51 47h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $50 47h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $102 47h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $72 2d
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 28¢ $31 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $50 3d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $25 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 99¢ $180 3d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 85¢ $500 3d
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes 5¢ $7 3d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 37¢ $263 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $101 3d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 94¢ $372 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL No 68¢ $94 3d
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 35¢ $51 6d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 63¢ $254 6d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 37¢ $37 6d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 48¢ $51 6d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 51¢ $151 6d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 63¢ $101 6d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $203 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +27.7% +15.5% 65% 65% +6.8%
≤30d 39 +2.9% -6.9% 54% 46% -5.6%
≤90d 39 +2.9% -6.9% 54% 46% -5.6%
all 39 +2.9% -6.9% 54% 46% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.9% 46% -5.6%
10% -15.8% 44% -14.7%
15% -24.0% 33% -22.9%
20% -31.4% 28% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,193.59 · official $8,193.60 (match) · 118 history records