Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T09:17:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb8a…37ea crypto 76 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$8 (+2%) realized +$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR64%break-even
Win rate64%49W / 27L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day76.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -4.5% -13.6% 64% 64% -12.1%
≤30d 76 -4.5% -13.6% 64% 64% -12.1%
≤90d 76 -4.5% -13.6% 64% 64% -12.1%
all 76 -4.5% -13.6% 64% 64% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover76.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 64% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 51% -20.5%
15% -29.4% 41% -28.2%
20% -36.3% 28% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses49 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)76 / 76
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day76.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 76 Trades
no open positions (24 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +75%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 135 history records