Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:42:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb8e…08c1
sports · 418 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13,324 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,768 · open −$502
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2,095
Realized−$12,768
Unrealized−$502
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses188 / 571
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$444
Open positions33
Markets (closed)759 / 418
History coverage3d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day951.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 33 History 759 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,497
7 days−$12,768
14 days−$12,768
30 days−$12,768
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 69¢ 100¢ $200 $289 +$88 (+44%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 62¢ 77¢ $219 $273 +$54 (+25%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 62¢ 100¢ $158 $255 +$97 (+62%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 59¢ 100¢ $112 $190 +$78 (+70%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Clutchain 89¢ 100¢ $124 $139 +$15 (+12%)
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions Samsung Lions 48¢ 56¢ $96 $112 +$17 (+17%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers SSG Landers 41¢ 50¢ $86 $105 +$19 (+22%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 55¢ 42¢ $126 $97 −$29 (-23%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 61¢ 100¢ $46 $75 +$29 (+64%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 31¢ 92¢ $20 $59 +$39 (+195%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 99¢ 100¢ $56 $57 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner GenOne 62¢ 100¢ $35 $56 +$21 (+61%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Paper Rex 76¢ 100¢ $37 $48 +$11 (+31%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 47¢ 84¢ $19 $34 +$15 (+80%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz Lotte Giants 50¢ 52¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+5%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 71¢ 100¢ $22 $31 +$9 (+40%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Vitality 93¢ 92¢ $31 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 79¢ 42¢ $51 $27 −$24 (-48%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 94¢ 100¢ $22 $23 +$1 (+6%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles Hanwha Eagles 57¢ 29¢ $41 $21 −$20 (-49%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 50¢ 100¢ $9 $19 +$10 (+101%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos NC Dinos 53¢ 50¢ $19 $17 −$1 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B MASONIC 48¢ 48¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos Hanwha Eagles 63¢ 50¢ $20 $16 −$4 (-20%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 38¢ 26¢ $23 $16 −$8 (-33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Klagenfurt: Pedro Sakamoto vs Dominik Recek Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Valorant: Mandatory vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Ksenia Smirnova vs Mariia Bergen Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Damajuana - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Machac vs Baez Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Dostanic Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkaya Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs CGN Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Aidan Mayo Jun 12 $1,059 −$1,059 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Naples: Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecai Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Nuggets vs. Spurs Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - EMEA Masters Pla Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Toronto Marlies Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Kody Pearson Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Vasco Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Francavilla: Facundo Acosta vs Henry Bernet Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Ghools Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Miami Open: Taylor Townsend vs Jasmine Paolini Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup C Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Valorant: RIZON vs CGN Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$506
other 2% +$345
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Invicta 24¢ $2 1m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Invicta 17¢ $2 2m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Invicta 17¢ $1 2m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Invicta 26¢ $3 4m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Invicta 45¢ $6 4m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 38¢ $24 5m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Vitality 93¢ $31 6m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Invicta 15¢ $1 6m
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY MASONIC 48¢ $16 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 75¢ $25 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 75¢ $48 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $26 10m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Invicta 33¢ $3 11m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 99¢ $7 15m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 99¢ $35 15m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 99¢ $14 15m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 99¢ $0 15m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 79¢ $51 20m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 60¢ $38 24m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 58¢ $19 24m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL GenOne 71¢ $11 24m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 29¢ $5 24m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL GenOne 71¢ $22 24m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 29¢ $9 24m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 63¢ $39 38m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 94¢ $22 38m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 54¢ $34 40m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 54¢ $18 40m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 99¢ $28 41m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 74¢ $22 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-58.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 759 -53.8% -58.2% 25% 21% -36.8%
≤30d 759 -53.8% -58.2% 25% 21% -36.8%
≤90d 759 -53.8% -58.2% 25% 21% -36.8%
all 759 -53.8% -58.2% 25% 21% -36.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover951.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -58.2% 21% -36.8%
10% ← realistic here -62.2% 16% -42.8%
15% -65.8% 12% -48.3%
20% -69.2% 7% -53.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,095.24 · official $2,046.31 · 3500 history records