trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 0% | 0% | -11.2% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 40% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 23 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 39% | 4% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 4% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $47 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 27 | $42 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 25 | $87 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 25 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 23 | $29 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 13 | $187 | $0 | +0% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | Mar 13 | $6 | +$1 | +11% |
| Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | Mar 12 | $166 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | Jan 31 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Dec 17 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | Oct 13 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will no leader be out in 2025? | Oct 13 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Oct 12 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025? | Oct 12 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in th | Oct 11 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | Oct 11 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 11 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Oct 10 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Oct 10 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan? | Oct 10 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 09 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 09 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE? | Oct 08 | $25 | $0 | +0% |