Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:51:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbbc2…10dc
crypto · 197 markets active 1h ago
7.0score
+$7,655 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,650 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$436
Realized+$7,650
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses94 / 102
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$253
Open positions1
Markets (closed)196 / 197
History coverage9d
Avg bet$163
Trades / day46.3
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$959
7 days+$4,886
14 days+$7,650
30 days+$7,650
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $431 $436 +$5 (+1%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: Both Teams to Score Yes 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Juan Manuel La Serna 42¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Albania vs. Luxembourg: Both Teams to Score Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Yes 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Argentina vs. Honduras: Both Teams to Score Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: Both Teams to Score Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: Both Teams to Score Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: Both Teams to Score Yes 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Qatar vs. El Salvador: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $102 +$126 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$17 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$26 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$31 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -94%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1,397 +$609 +44%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $158 −$154 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$100 -96%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $893 +$867 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $105 −$100 -96%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $203 +$208 +102%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $209 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $105 +$36 +34%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $145 +$159 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +6%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $696 +$348 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $418 −$200 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $315 +$72 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $452 −$109 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $315 +$75 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $105 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $105 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $154 −$64 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $105 +$27 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $315 +$26 +8%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $203 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$21 +101%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $101 +$67 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $230 +$64 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $209 +$20 +9%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $4 +$4 +79%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1,737 +$1,595 +92%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $203 −$200 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $419 −$42 -10%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Jun 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $869 +$150 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% +$9,923
crypto 44% −$1,818
other 1% −$450
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $32 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $113 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 44¢ $102 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $438 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $136 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $53 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $2 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $1,397 8h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 35¢ $56 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $104 8h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 32¢ $51 8h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 33¢ $50 8h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 40¢ $102 8h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $893 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $210 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $105 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 39¢ $102 30h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 49¢ $203 35h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli BUY Federico Bondioli 27¢ $102 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $217 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $209 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 -16.9% -24.8% 47% 38% +9.6%
≤30d 196 -11.5% -19.9% 48% 41% +13.9%
≤90d 196 -11.5% -19.9% 48% 41% +13.9%
all 196 -11.5% -19.9% 48% 41% +13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 41% +13.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 37% +3.0%
15% -34.6% 31% -6.9%
20% -41.0% 27% -16.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $435.68 · official $435.68 (match) · 433 history records