trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 14 | +26.1% | +14.1% | 79% | 36% | +44.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.1% | 36% | +44.1% |
| 10% | +3.2% | 36% | +30.3% |
| 15% | -6.8% | 36% | +17.7% |
| 20% | -15.9% | 29% | +6.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Mar 14 | $334 | +$8 | +2% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 14 | $256 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 14 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Mar 13 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | Mar 13 | $40 | +$2 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | Mar 13 | $30 | −$24 | -79% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Mar 13 | $25 | −$1 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Feb 06 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Feb 06 | $259 | +$111 | +43% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 22 | $296 | $0 | +0% |
| Warriors vs. 76ers | Dec 15 | $954 | +$596 | +62% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Nov 24 | $586 | +$634 | +108% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5) | Nov 23 | $292 | +$317 | +108% |
| Spread: Raptors (-10.5) | Nov 12 | $528 | +$550 | +104% |