trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +41.1% | +27.6% | 100% | 100% | +27.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +19.2% | +7.8% | 75% | 75% | +27.9% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +19.2% | +7.8% | 75% | 75% | +27.9% |
| all | 4 | +19.2% | +7.8% | 75% | 75% | +27.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.8% | 75% | +27.9% |
| 10% | -2.5% | 75% | +15.6% |
| 15% | -11.9% | 50% | +4.5% |
| 20% | -20.6% | 25% | -5.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 39¢ | 42¢ | $32 | $33 | +$2 (+5%) |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 12¢ | $25 | $18 | −$8 (-31%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 26¢ | 21¢ | $13 | $10 | −$2 (-19%) |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 18¢ | 15¢ | $9 | $7 | −$2 (-21%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | Jun 26 | $78 | +$32 | +41% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 12 | $34 | +$36 | +104% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Jun 12 | $76 | +$24 | +32% |