Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:45:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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BB 0xbbcf…20ae crypto 881 markets active 5h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (106 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$115 (+0%) realized +$146 · open −$31
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate50%441W / 439L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day105.8pace
Fees−$47est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$34now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$154
7 days+$560
14 days+$613
30 days−$497
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% −$863
sports 8% +$299
world 6% +$207
other 4% −$168
finance 1% −$40
tech 0% +$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (106 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 243 +22.2% +10.6% 49% 47% -2.7%
≤30d 880 +4.1% -5.8% 50% 48% -11.1%
≤90d 880 +4.1% -5.8% 50% 48% -11.1%
all 880 +4.1% -5.8% 50% 48% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover105.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 48% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 43% -19.6%
15% -23.1% 37% -27.3%
20% -30.6% 29% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late +17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$25 vs −$26 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$34
Realized+$146
Unrealized−$31
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses441 / 439
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions1
Markets (closed)880 / 881
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$33
Trades / day105.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 880 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 13¢ 7¢ $66 $34 −$31 (-48%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 3 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 20 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET Jun 20 $100 −$97 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 20 $28 +$13 +44%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $123 −$121 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $43 +$19 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 20 $27 −$5 -17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 20 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $18 +$13 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $25 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $9 −$6 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$8 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $38 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 20 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 20 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 20 $32 +$19 +59%
Yunus Akgün: 1+ goals Jun 20 $34 −$33 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $34 +$37 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 20 $14 +$11 +75%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $18 +$3 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $32 +$10 +33%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals Jun 20 $31 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $61 +$17 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$5 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$10 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 20 $17 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$22 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$5 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$5 +24%
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 Jun 20 $11 +$7 +68%
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5 Jun 20 $81 +$95 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals Jun 20 $15 +$81 +524%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $7 +$109 +1489%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $24 +$17 +71%
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 20 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $73 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $54 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 24¢ $12 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $6 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $24 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 39¢ $20 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $27 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $12 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.25 · official $34.25 (match) · 3500 history records