Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:34:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbbd1…4244
crypto · 996 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,167 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,167 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses403 / 593
Whale WR (big bets)9%
Est. fees paid−$79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)996 / 996
History coverage91d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day28.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 996 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$72
7 days+$69
14 days+$69
30 days−$381
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$29 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$48 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$30 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$19 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 37% −$980
crypto 19% −$418
sports 14% −$357
finance 11% −$256
other 9% −$619
politics 8% −$314
economics 2% +$5
culture 0% −$165
tech 0% −$66
weather 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $22 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $26 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $50 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 +0.8% -8.8% 90% 4% -8.8%
≤30d 190 -0.9% -10.3% 76% 3% -11.2%
≤90d 977 -10.5% -19.0% 40% 21% -13.5%
all 996 -10.1% -18.6% 40% 21% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 21% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 20% -21.8%
15% -33.5% 19% -29.3%
20% -40.0% 19% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records