Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:40:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbbef…9838
world · 250 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$169 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$179 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$313
Realized−$179
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses81 / 109
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions60
Markets (closed)190 / 250
History coverage535d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 60 History 190 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$17
14 days−$45
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 73¢ 90¢ $34 $41 +$8 (+22%)
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No 72¢ 85¢ $19 $22 +$3 (+18%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 69¢ 58¢ $26 $22 −$4 (-16%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 60¢ 79¢ $13 $17 +$4 (+32%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 17¢ 14¢ $16 $13 −$2 (-16%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No 94¢ 99¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+6%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? No 94¢ 99¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+6%)
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 17¢ 60¢ $3 $11 +$8 (+241%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 84¢ 90¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Yes 26¢ 39¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+48%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 78¢ 88¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+13%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? Yes 33¢ 30¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-7%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes 76¢ 84¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+10%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 70¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No 58¢ 58¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? No 55¢ 59¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes 57¢ 55¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Trump out as President before 2027? No 84¢ 90¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No 86¢ 85¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 70¢ 72¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 68¢ 66¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 78¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No 49¢ 53¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $2 +$8 +317%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 14 $29 −$5 -16%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 -1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $16 −$1 -9%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $9 +$4 +43%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 14 $1 +$2 +180%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $12 +$1 +7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? Jun 13 $6 −$2 -31%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 13 $6 −$4 -58%
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +133%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 13 $113 −$1 -1%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $4 −$2 -40%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $11 +$1 +12%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $13 −$10 -73%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1 +$2 +197%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $9 −$3 -30%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 12 $7 −$1 -9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -57%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -76%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 11 $4 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +114%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 +$2 +117%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 +$1 +95%
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Jun 11 $4 $0 -7%
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +35%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -68%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% −$141
world 21% −$16
politics 6% −$8
other 5% +$17
finance 1% −$10
tech 1% −$9
crypto 0% $0
economics 0% −$1
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 12¢ $3 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 100¢ $5 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 2h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 46¢ $2 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 3h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? SELL No 64¢ $3 3h
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican pri BUY Yes 36¢ $2 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 40¢ $1 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 5h
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY No 92¢ $1 5h
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 BUY Yes 0¢ $1 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 6h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? BUY No 72¢ $4 6h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 48¢ $1 6h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 62¢ $3 6h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? BUY No 59¢ $3 6h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 24¢ $2 7h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 83¢ $1 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 8h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 17¢ $3 8h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 33¢ $3 8h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY No 97¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 50¢ $1 11h
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY No 48¢ $1 11h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 65¢ $3 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +6.8% -3.3% 49% 37% -11.9%
≤30d 113 -1.9% -11.3% 47% 36% -12.0%
≤90d 168 -11.5% -19.9% 42% 32% -20.9%
all 190 -8.6% -17.3% 43% 30% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 30% -12.9%
10% -25.2% 21% -21.2%
15% -32.4% 18% -28.8%
20% -39.1% 15% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $313.48 · official $313.12 (match) · 1142 history records