trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 50% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 30% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 30% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 18 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 44% | 0% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 0% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -24.0% | 0% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $29 | $29 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $13 | −$3 | -26% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $71 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $37 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 09 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 08 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 25 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference? | Mar 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump sign 34 or more executive orders in February? | Mar 03 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| UTEP vs. Kennesaw State | Feb 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| UNC Wilmington vs. William & Mary | Feb 25 | $5 | −$1 | -15% |