Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:24:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbc20…8673
crypto · 1834 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$254 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$254 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$254
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1176 / 502
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1678 / 1834
History coverage18d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day120.6
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 1678 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$81
14 days+$157
30 days+$254
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +57%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +60%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% +$252
other 16% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 46m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 648 +0.5% -9.1% 66% 66% -6.5%
≤30d 1678 +1.9% -7.8% 70% 70% -6.1%
≤90d 1678 +1.9% -7.8% 70% 70% -6.1%
all 1678 +1.9% -7.8% 70% 70% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 70% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 58% -15.1%
15% -24.7% 42% -23.3%
20% -32.0% 25% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3331 history records