trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 22 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 73% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 21? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3,205 | $3,207 | +$2 (+0%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 21? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $78 | $78 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $3,281 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17? | Jun 17 | $3,277 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $3,274 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | Jun 15 | $3,263 | +$7 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 27 | $3,239 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | May 20 | $3,240 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | May 16 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Mar 17 | $2,334 | +$13 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November? | Mar 16 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on November 12? | Nov 13 | $1,196 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $210 on November 13? | Nov 12 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 202 | Nov 12 | $1,310 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 11 | $1,311 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $110 November 3-9? | Nov 10 | $1,312 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 09 | $1,311 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 7? | Nov 08 | $1,312 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November | Nov 07 | $1,310 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 5? | Nov 06 | $1,308 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Nov 05 | $1,309 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 04 | $1,310 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 27-November 2? | Nov 03 | $1,310 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,600 on November 2? | Nov 03 | $1,309 | +$1 | +0% |