trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -17.6% | -25.4% | 50% | 33% | -17.8% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -29.6% | -36.3% | 55% | 20% | -26.2% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -29.6% | -36.3% | 55% | 20% | -26.2% |
| all | 20 | -29.6% | -36.3% | 55% | 20% | -26.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.3% | 20% | -26.2% |
| 10% | -42.4% | 10% | -33.3% |
| 15% | -48.0% | 0% | -39.7% |
| 20% | -53.1% | 0% | -45.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican pri | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -72% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 16 | $4 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary ele | Jun 16 | $2 | −$1 | -43% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang | Jun 09 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 | Jun 09 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 | Jun 09 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 07 | $9 | +$2 | +27% |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m? | Jun 02 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m? | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +24% |
| Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m? | Jun 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31? | May 29 | $2 | −$1 | -46% |