Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbc46…5b2a
crypto · 589 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,034 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$612 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$612
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses250 / 338
Open positions1
Markets (closed)588 / 589
History coverage93d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 588 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$286
14 days+$286
30 days+$286
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$46 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$21 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$19 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$32 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$9 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$12 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$9 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$15 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$13 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$8 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$14 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$8 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$9 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$10 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$11 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$10 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$614
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 333 +8.2% -2.1% 45% 45% -0.8%
≤30d 333 +8.2% -2.1% 45% 45% -0.8%
≤90d 559 -4.8% -13.8% 40% 39% -23.8%
all 588 +2.4% -7.4% 43% 42% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 42% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 42% -22.3%
15% -24.3% 42% -29.8%
20% -31.8% 42% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.03 (match) · 3500 history records