Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbc4d…be2c
crypto · 270 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$6 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses179 / 91
Open positions0
Markets (closed)270 / 270
History coverage17d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 270 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$6
14 days−$4
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +61%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -50%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +66%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$2
other 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $0 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 19h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 162 +4.2% -5.7% 67% 60% -6.8%
≤30d 270 +1.2% -8.4% 66% 60% -10.3%
≤90d 270 +1.2% -8.4% 66% 60% -10.3%
all 270 +1.2% -8.4% 66% 60% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 60% -10.3%
10% -17.2% 51% -18.9%
15% -25.2% 39% -26.8%
20% -32.5% 26% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 499 history records