trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +35.6% | +22.7% | 48% | 40% | -21.3% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +35.6% | +22.7% | 48% | 40% | -21.3% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +35.6% | +22.7% | 48% | 40% | -21.3% |
| all | 25 | +35.6% | +22.7% | 48% | 40% | -21.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +22.7% | 40% | -21.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +10.9% | 40% | -28.8% |
| 15% | +0.2% | 32% | -35.7% |
| 20% | -9.6% | 28% | -42.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20? | Yes | 48¢ | 46¢ | $234 | $226 | −$8 (-3%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21? | Yes | 23¢ | 32¢ | $85 | $114 | +$29 (+35%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $17 | $15 | −$2 (-14%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 20? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $3 | $5 | +$2 (+62%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20? | Yes | 23¢ | 33¢ | $1 | $2 | +$0 (+43%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 20? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21? | Jun 20 | $68 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $35 | +$49 | +141% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju | Jun 20 | $46 | +$34 | +75% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju | Jun 20 | $61 | +$25 | +40% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19? | Jun 19 | $82 | +$22 | +26% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju | Jun 19 | $59 | −$33 | -56% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $35 | +$112 | +319% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $83 | +$10 | +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$3 | +29% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 18? | Jun 17 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 17? | Jun 17 | $44 | +$18 | +41% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on June 17? | Jun 17 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 18? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18? | Jun 17 | $22 | −$21 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$30 | +153% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $159 | −$14 | -9% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $68 | −$67 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $68 | −$66 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17? | Jun 17 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju | Jun 17 | $99 | +$87 | +88% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $33 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ju | Jun 16 | $9 | −$9 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Ju | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $266 | −$266 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |