trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5) | Auckland FC | 90¢ | 100¢ | $20 | $22 | +$2 (+11%) |
| Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 New Zealand? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $18 | $19 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Exact Score: Girona FC 2 - 1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $16 | $17 | +$1 (+9%) |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 | Over | 93¢ | 92¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 New Zealand? | Jun 02 | $18 | +$1 | +6% |
| Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5) | May 23 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Exact Score: Girona FC 2 - 1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? | May 14 | $16 | +$1 | +9% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Mar 30 | $12 | +$1 | +6% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Mar 30 | $14 | +$2 | +11% |
| Spurs vs. Bucks | Mar 30 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will OpTic Texas win DreamHack Major 2? | Mar 30 | $116 | −$116 | -100% |
| Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Mar 28 | $2,501 | −$5 | -0% |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Mar 28 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Mar 28 | $1,220 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Clara Tauson be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Mar 28 | $1,160 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this | Mar 28 | $1,158 | +$6 | +0% |
| Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this el | Mar 28 | $43 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after t | Mar 28 | $2,298 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Mar 28 | $1,277 | −$18 | -1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Con | Mar 28 | $1,152 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Mar 28 | $1,241 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jerse | Mar 28 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | Mar 28 | $78 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? | Mar 28 | $81 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31? | Mar 28 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Mar 28 | $1,239 | +$1 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +8.7% | -1.6% | 100% | 50% | -1.5% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 41% | 9% | -10.5% |
| all | 22 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 41% | 9% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 9% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -24.0% | 0% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -34.1% |