Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbc70…1103
crypto · 1117 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$257 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$257 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$257
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses801 / 316
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1117 / 1117
Avg bet$5
Trades / day26.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$57
14 days−$78
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$19 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$7 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$9 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$8 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$5 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$257
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 -0.1% -9.6% 68% 27% -14.1%
≤30d 185 +0.2% -9.4% 70% 28% -15.0%
≤90d 1117 -4.3% -13.4% 72% 27% -13.6%
all 1117 -4.3% -13.4% 72% 27% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 27% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 13% -21.8%
15% -29.3% 7% -29.4%
20% -36.2% 4% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records