Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:18:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbc7f…0f42
crypto · 348 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$22 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$114 · open +$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$77
Realized+$114
Unrealized+$26
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses222 / 118
Open positions8
Markets (closed)340 / 348
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day401.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 340 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$114
7 days+$114
14 days+$114
30 days+$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+60%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 64¢ 92¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 60¢ 70¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 55¢ 98¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+77%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 61¢ 50¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 0¢ 49¢ $0 $8 +$8 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+60%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 56¢ 98¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+74%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$15 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$6 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$5 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$11 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$139
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 340 +4.5% -5.5% 65% 63% -6.3%
≤30d 340 +4.5% -5.5% 65% 63% -6.3%
≤90d 340 +4.5% -5.5% 65% 63% -6.3%
all 340 +4.5% -5.5% 65% 63% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover401.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 63% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.5% 60% -15.3%
15% -22.8% 45% -23.4%
20% -30.3% 33% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $76.68 · official $67.38 · 656 history records