Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:53:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbc96…1245
sports · 442 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,846 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,846 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$281
Realized−$6,846
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses258 / 184
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$213
Open positions0
Markets (closed)442 / 442
History coverage41d
Avg bet$101
Trades / day46.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 442 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,000
7 days−$1,035
14 days−$1,383
30 days−$5,049
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 95¢ 100¢ $90 $95 +$5 (+5%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Over 97¢ 100¢ $90 $93 +$3 (+3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 98¢ 100¢ $90 $92 +$2 (+2%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Texas Rangers 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-23? No 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Yes 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 1¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29? Yes 71¢ 0¢ $266 $0 −$266 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-17? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23? No 20¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score Yes 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw? No 1¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17? No 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Chicago Cubs 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 33¢ 0¢ $496 $0 −$496 (-100%)
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $169 $0 −$169 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 19¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? No 45¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $8 −$3 -33%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $7 −$1 -20%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $6 −$1 -12%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $90 +$3 +3%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $90 +$5 +5%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $10 −$2 -25%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $90 +$2 +2%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $18 −$1 -7%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $6 −$2 -37%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $864 −$598 -69%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1,240 −$407 -33%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $13 $0 -0%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $29 +$5 +19%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $13 $0 +2%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $19 −$3 -17%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $55 +$1 +1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $24 −$12 -50%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $16 $0 +2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $22 −$13 -61%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $3 −$1 -22%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $6 $0 -2%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $17 +$2 +14%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $7 −$3 -39%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $3 +$1 +44%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $6 −$2 -31%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $13 −$7 -51%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 06 $3 +$1 +39%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 06 $29 −$2 -7%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $13 +$1 +6%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $46 −$4 -8%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 05 $10 +$1 +7%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $97 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $336 −$330 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $745 −$15 -2%
Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 May 30 $82 +$1 +1%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $1,126 −$1,108 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $270 −$266 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 28 $100 −$2 -2%
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 26 $1 +$1 +238%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 26 $233 −$231 -99%
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? May 25 $953 −$930 -98%
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5 May 25 $31 +$1 +3%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $108 +$11 +10%
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5 May 25 $60 +$8 +13%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $209 −$108 -52%
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? May 25 $101 +$20 +20%
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $101 +$21 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$2,716
other 48% −$3,714
world 1% −$416
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 30¢ $1 5m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 30¢ $1 5m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 67¢ $4 6m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 64¢ $3 8m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 65¢ $3 8m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 92¢ $4 35m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Chicago Cubs 70¢ $3 36m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 28¢ $1 36m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 27¢ $1 36m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 34¢ $3 37m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Kansas City Royals 9¢ $1 37m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 69¢ $3 39m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 19¢ $3 39m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 86¢ $4 43m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 97¢ $90 51m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 95¢ $87 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 95¢ $3 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 53¢ $4 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 51¢ $4 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 55¢ $14 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 45¢ $3 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 50¢ $12 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 46¢ $3 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 81¢ $5 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 82¢ $5 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 96¢ $3 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 98¢ $90 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 92¢ $3 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 10¢ $2 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 21¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -17.9% -25.7% 43% 17% -34.4%
≤30d 288 -9.5% -18.1% 60% 17% -30.4%
≤90d 442 -8.1% -16.8% 58% 21% -22.4%
all 442 -8.1% -16.8% 58% 21% -22.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 21% -22.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 10% -29.8%
15% -32.0% 6% -36.6%
20% -38.7% 4% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $280.57 · official $279.48 (match) · 2147 history records