Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T05:37:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BC 0xbc97…4669 other 13 markets active 1h ago coverage 98d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ Small sample
✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$1 (-0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$98per market
Trades / day0.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit46%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 57% −$1
politics 36% $0
sports 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 4 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 12 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 13 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

98d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage98d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit46%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 13 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 29 $182 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 25 $90 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $90 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $90 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 27 $91 $0 -0%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 21 $91 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 16 $91 $0 -0%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 11 $91 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $91 $0 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 04 $91 $0 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 16 $92 $0 +0%
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 07 $92 $0 +0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 23 $92 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $90 1h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $90 13h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $90 3d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $90 4d
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $90 26d
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $90 26d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $90 27d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $90 28d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $90 33d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $91 33d
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $91 39d
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $24 40d
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $16 40d
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $50 40d
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $91 43d
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $91 44d
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $91 48d
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 49d
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $76 49d
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $91 52d
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $91 52d
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $91 55d
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $91 56d
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 100¢ $92 73d
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $92 73d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $92 78d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $92 78d
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 99¢ $92 83d
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 99¢ $92 83d
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $92 97d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 44 history records