Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:26:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbcab…e96e
other · 3 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-9%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $14 25h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $14 25h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $16 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -6.4% -15.3% 0% 0% -15.3%
≤30d 1 -6.4% -15.3% 0% 0% -15.3%
≤90d 1 -6.4% -15.3% 0% 0% -15.3%
all 1 -6.4% -15.3% 0% 0% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 0% -15.3%
10% -23.4% 0% -23.4%
15% -30.8% 0% -30.8%
20% -37.6% 0% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.79 · official $13.79 (match) · 6 history records