Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T10:11:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BC 0xbcac…3187 crypto 76 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (98 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$3 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate82%62W / 14L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day98.1pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$99
other 1% +$8
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (98 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -4.1% -13.2% 82% 32% -12.0%
≤30d 76 -4.1% -13.2% 82% 32% -12.0%
≤90d 76 -4.1% -13.2% 82% 32% -12.0%
all 76 -4.1% -13.2% 82% 32% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover98.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 32% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 14% -20.4%
15% -29.1% 8% -28.1%
20% -36.0% 5% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$27 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses62 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)76 / 76
History coverage1d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day98.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 76 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 26 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 26 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 26 $82 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 26 $71 +$15 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 26 $68 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 26 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $41 +$18 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 26 $38 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 26 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 26 $101 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $101 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 26 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 26 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 26 $101 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 26 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 26 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 26 $86 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 26 $85 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $60 −$11 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 26 $61 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 26 $61 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$4 +7%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? Jun 26 $10 $0 -1%
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? Jun 26 $50 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 26 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 26 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 26 $41 +$8 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $82 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $97 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $107 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $106 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $47 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 175 history records