Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T03:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BC 0xbcb6…2acc crypto 52 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (159 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$32 (+5%) realized +$32 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +35% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +4% what you keep after slip
Net edge+4%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate63%33W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day159.0pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$18
other 12% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (159 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +35.0% +22.1% 63% 44% -11.5%
≤30d 52 +35.0% +22.1% 63% 44% -11.5%
≤90d 52 +35.0% +22.1% 63% 44% -11.5%
all 52 +35.0% +22.1% 63% 44% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover159.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +22.1% 44% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here +10.4% 29% -19.9%
15% -0.2% 23% -27.7%
20% -10.0% 13% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +35% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +76% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses33 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day159.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 52 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 28 $61 −$28 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $31 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 28 $22 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 28 $68 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 28 $112 −$29 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$7 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 28 $13 $0 -4%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $4 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 28 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 28 $24 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $11 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 28 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 28 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 27 $42 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 27 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +2%
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana? Jun 27 $31 +$3 +10%
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana? Jun 27 $25 +$3 +12%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? Jun 27 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 27 $24 +$1 +3%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 27 $16 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 27 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 27 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 27 $8 +$8 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 27 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 27 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 27 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 27 $16 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $7 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 27 $6 +$2 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $49 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 172 history records