trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 29% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +149.6% | +125.8% | 38% | 12% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +149.6% | +125.8% | 38% | 12% | -9.3% |
| all | 22 | +43.1% | +29.5% | 27% | 5% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +29.5% | 5% | -9.9% |
| 10% | +17.1% | 5% | -18.6% |
| 15% | +5.8% | 5% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -4.6% | 5% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $43 | $43 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $44 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 15 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $64 | −$1 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 13 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 12 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 11 | $43 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15 | Jul 15 | $7 | −$2 | -28% |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and | Jun 24 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 15 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 11 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of Ne | Jun 10 | $7 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? | Jun 09 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Minnesota Vikings? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 07 | $5 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | Jun 05 | $23 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.50 in May? | Jun 02 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | -15% |
| Will Derrick White Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | May 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |