Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbcc8…9e98
other · 76 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$43 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses23 / 48
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)71 / 76
History coverage38d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 5 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$13
14 days+$6
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $10 $12 +$1 (+12%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Timberwolves 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-05-31? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $18 −$17 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -93%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $126 +$31 +24%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 −$8 -97%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? Jun 09 $2 $0 -10%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $2 $0 -8%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $17 −$17 -98%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $7 −$7 -96%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 07 $5 −$4 -76%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 +$6 +131%
Will Guam win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $2 +$4 +194%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 +$6 +273%
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Mongolia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $12 +$19 +163%
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $8 −$8 -97%
Will Jordan win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Mongolia win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $2 −$2 -97%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $16 +$20 +126%
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $6 −$6 -97%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 28 $12 −$12 -97%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $18 −$18 -97%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $6 +$18 +276%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $5 +$4 +75%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 −$2 -97%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a dr May 24 $2 +$5 +234%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 24 $5 +$6 +116%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? May 14 $12 −$12 -98%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14? May 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14? May 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? May 14 $7 +$7 +109%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12? May 13 $3 +$4 +165%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11? May 12 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET May 11 $1 +$2 +181%
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Thunder vs. Lakers May 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% −$43
sports 25% +$7
crypto 3% −$6
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 68¢ $20 4h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $11 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 4h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 28¢ $18 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 2d
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 91¢ $157 3d
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 24¢ $8 3d
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? SELL Yes 26¢ $2 3d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $2 3d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 25¢ $4 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 1¢ $0 3d
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 71¢ $126 3d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 3d
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 3d
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 4d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 4d
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 4d
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 4d
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 4d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 68¢ $10 4d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 28¢ $4 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $6 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $3 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 51¢ $8 6d
Will Guam win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 6d
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 33¢ $2 6d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $11 6d
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-30.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -12.2% -20.5% 29% 29% -15.4%
≤30d 40 -24.2% -31.4% 28% 28% -17.8%
≤90d 71 -23.1% -30.5% 32% 32% -18.4%
all 71 -23.1% -30.5% 32% 32% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.5% 32% -18.4%
10% -37.1% 32% -26.2%
15% -43.2% 28% -33.4%
20% -48.8% 25% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.62 · official $60.62 (match) · 124 history records