trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +43.3% | +29.7% | 21% | 21% | -27.8% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +43.3% | +29.7% | 21% | 21% | -27.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +43.3% | +29.7% | 21% | 21% | -27.8% |
| all | 31 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 19% | 19% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.7% | 19% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -14.8% | 19% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -23.0% | 19% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -30.5% | 19% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$7 | +344% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$11 | +1091% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$4 | +291% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$12 | +596% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Nov 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $4.20 in November? | Nov 24 | $1 | −$1 | -80% |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Nov 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | Nov 10 | $10 | +$12 | +117% |
| Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize? | Nov 09 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $3.80 in November? | Nov 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $3.40 in November? | Nov 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Nov 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Gam | Nov 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game | Nov 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $3.20 in November? | Nov 09 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $9 | +$15 | +170% |