Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T11:47:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BC 0xbce1…22d8 crypto 1706 markets active 0h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 34d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$89 (+1%) realized +$89 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate85%1442W / 264L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day55.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$14
14 days+$8
30 days−$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$134
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 655 -0.1% -9.6% 88% 33% -9.3%
≤30d 1509 -1.0% -10.4% 87% 26% -10.5%
≤90d 1706 -0.3% -9.8% 85% 27% -10.4%
all 1706 -0.3% -9.8% 85% 27% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 27% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 1% -19.0%
15% -26.3% 1% -26.8%
20% -33.5% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
63% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1442 / 264
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1706 / 1706
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day55.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1706 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$6 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$7 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$8 -88%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$6 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records