Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:24:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbcea…e614
crypto · 453 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$88 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$77 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$77
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses185 / 267
Open positions1
Markets (closed)452 / 453
History coverage2d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day1920.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 452 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$77
7 days−$77
14 days−$77
30 days−$77
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 48¢ 78¢ $20 $33 +$13 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 48¢ 22¢ $20 $9 −$11 (-55%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $63 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $55 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $75 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $75 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $64 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$88
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 452 +1.6% -8.1% 41% 8% -10.0%
≤30d 452 +1.6% -8.1% 41% 8% -10.0%
≤90d 452 +1.6% -8.1% 41% 8% -10.0%
all 452 +1.6% -8.1% 41% 8% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1920.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 8% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 4% -18.6%
15% -24.9% 2% -26.4%
20% -32.3% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.82 · official $41.85 (match) · 3500 history records