Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbcf0…9604
crypto · 78 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,024 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$107
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses41 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)78 / 78
History coverage2d
Avg bet$632
Trades / day1046.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,556
7 days−$107
14 days−$107
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $844 $0 −$844 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1,034 $0 −$1,034 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $954 $0 −$954 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $355 $0 −$355 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $722 $0 −$722 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $862 $0 −$862 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $864 $0 −$864 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $211 $0 −$211 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $221 $0 −$221 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $884 $0 −$884 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $312 $0 −$312 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $463 $0 −$463 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1,759 $0 −$1,759 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $515 $0 −$515 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1,816 $0 −$1,816 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $129 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $180 +$18 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1,125 +$689 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $523 −$500 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$42 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $1,399 +$991 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $516 +$226 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $112 +$66 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $92 +$38 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $639 +$837 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $893 +$345 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $234 −$221 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $429 −$413 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1,707 −$452 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $180 +$93 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $526 +$538 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $792 −$177 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1,378 +$546 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $57 −$53 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $73 −$68 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1,075 −$1,034 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $638 +$337 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $990 −$954 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $326 −$312 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1,084 −$794 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $128 +$65 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $709 +$315 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $899 +$638 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $993 +$460 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1,881 −$1,816 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1,113 +$474 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $926 −$884 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $151 +$128 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $204 −$190 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $547 −$519 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$102 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $459 +$517 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $246 +$97 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2,677 −$1,571 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $221 −$210 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$95 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$30 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$31 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $173 +$194 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1,587 −$76 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $568 +$242 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$107
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $27 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $51 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $52 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $192 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $126 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $205 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $374 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $380 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $129 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $32 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $32 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $85 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $102 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -6.8% -15.7% 53% 49% -9.7%
≤30d 78 -6.8% -15.7% 53% 49% -9.7%
≤90d 78 -6.8% -15.7% 53% 49% -9.7%
all 78 -6.8% -15.7% 53% 49% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1046.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 49% -9.7%
10% -23.8% 49% -18.4%
15% ← realistic here -31.1% 44% -26.3%
20% -37.9% 31% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2360 history records