Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:50:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbcfa…6381
other · 537 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses534 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)537 / 537
History coverage118d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 0 History 537 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Sato vs. Nishimura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Mathieu Choinière: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Derek Cornelius: 1+ assists Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Serbia 1 - 0 Denmark? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Deportes Temuco vs. Curico Unido: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will "Qween Jean" win Best Costume Design of a Musical at the 2026 Ton Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs RUSTEC (+2.5) Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Russia 3 - 3 Burkina Faso? Jun 05 $4 $0 +0%
Will Brumbies win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final? Jun 05 $5 $0 +5%
Will Alexander Albon achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Banja Luka: Nala Kovacic vs Ella Haavisto Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Montreal Alouettes vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Mikal Bridges Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Will Sharks qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan - Most Sixes Glamorgan Winner Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
First Blood in Game 3? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: SKillous (-1.5) vs Gerald (+1.5) Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Will Audrey Denney advance from the CA-01 primary election? Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Will Roberto Ramos advance from the CA-27 primary election? Jun 04 $4 $0 +0%
First Blood in Game 3? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
IR Tanger vs. Wydad Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
RCA Zemamra vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: Draw at halftime? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions e Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
First Blood in Game 2? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 New Zealand? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 3 Guatemala? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Perugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carboni Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Heilbronn: Completed Match: Jan Choinski vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Clube do Remo 1 - 1 São Paulo FC? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Poland 3 - 3 Ukraine? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Jodar vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: EC Bahia 1 - 0 Botafogo FR? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
GAIS leading at halftime? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Will Lee Kang-in be named the 2026 UEFA Champions League Final Man of May 31 $1 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Mboko vs. Keys: Match O/U 21.5 May 30 $5 $0 +0%
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Mali vs Sierra Leone May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% +$6
sports 46% −$7
politics 3% +$1
world 2% +$1
weather 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
finance 1% $0
culture 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Sato vs. Nishimura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 1h
Mathieu Choinière: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Derek Cornelius: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Exact Score: Serbia 1 - 0 Denmark? BUY No 100¢ $5 3d
Deportes Temuco vs. Curico Unido: Both Teams to Score BUY No 100¢ $5 4d
Will "Qween Jean" win Best Costume Design of a Musical at the 2026 Ton BUY Yes 100¢ $5 5d
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs RUSTEC (+2.5) BUY RUSTEC 99¢ $5 7d
Exact Score: Russia 3 - 3 Burkina Faso? BUY No 100¢ $4 7d
Will Brumbies win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final? BUY No 95¢ $5 7d
Will Alexander Albon achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
ITF Banja Luka: Nala Kovacic vs Ella Haavisto BUY Ella Haavisto 100¢ $5 7d
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 7d
Montreal Alouettes vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats BUY Montreal Alouettes 100¢ $5 7d
Mikal Bridges BUY Yes 99¢ $5 8d
Will Sharks qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan - Most Sixes Glamorgan Winner BUY Yes 100¢ $5 8d
Will AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida end in a draw? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
First Blood in Game 3? BUY UCAM Esports Club 100¢ $5 8d
Map Handicap: SKillous (-1.5) vs Gerald (+1.5) BUY SKillous 99¢ $5 8d
Will Roberto Ramos advance from the CA-27 primary election? BUY No 100¢ $4 9d
Will Audrey Denney advance from the CA-01 primary election? BUY No 99¢ $5 9d
First Blood in Game 3? BUY Galions 100¢ $5 9d
IR Tanger vs. Wydad Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 100¢ $5 9d
RCA Zemamra vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 9d
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions BUY No 99¢ $5 9d
Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions e BUY Yes 99¢ $5 9d
First Blood in Game 2? BUY EDward Gaming 100¢ $5 9d
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 New Zealand? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 74 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 298 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 1% -9.7%
all 537 +0.0% -9.5% 99% 1% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 1% -9.5%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1084 history records