Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:37:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbd05…0a55
crypto · 81 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$397 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$390 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,069
Realized−$390
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses50 / 47
Open positions1
Markets (closed)97 / 81
Avg bet$218
Trades / day3420.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 97 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$390
7 days−$390
14 days−$390
30 days−$390
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $239 $664 +$425 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $185 $302 +$118 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 47¢ 54¢ $51 $59 +$7 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 53¢ 46¢ $51 $44 −$7 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $410 $0 −$410 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $410 −$410 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $146 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$14 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $324 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $252 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $197 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $191 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $190 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $128 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $229 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $308 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $245 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $206 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $147 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $314 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $205 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $236 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $211 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $319 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $345 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $283 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $257 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $366 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $246 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $208 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $262 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $88 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $187 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$178
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -16.1% -24.1% 52% 2% -11.5%
≤30d 97 -16.1% -24.1% 52% 2% -11.5%
≤90d 97 -16.1% -24.1% 52% 2% -11.5%
all 97 -16.1% -24.1% 52% 2% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3420.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.1% 2% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -31.4% 1% -19.9%
15% -38.0% 1% -27.7%
20% -44.1% 1% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,069.07 · official $1,062.89 (match) · 3500 history records