trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -11.7% | -20.1% | 67% | 50% | -44.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 40% | 30% | -43.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 40% | 30% | -43.4% |
| all | 10 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 40% | 30% | -43.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.5% | 30% | -43.4% |
| 10% | -28.1% | 10% | -48.8% |
| 15% | -35.1% | 10% | -53.8% |
| 20% | -41.4% | 10% | -58.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 16¢ | 1¢ | $353 | $14 | −$339 (-96%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$1 | +101% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $102 | −$42 | -41% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 07 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 07 | $6 | $0 | -2% |