Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:37:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BD 0xbd58…11d8 crypto 1748 markets active 0h ago coverage 101d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 100d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$43 (+0%) realized +$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate97%1703W / 45L
Drawdown70%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day17.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$5
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 363 -0.2% -9.7% 96% 2% -9.8%
≤30d 924 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 1% -9.8%
≤90d 1017 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 1% -9.9%
all 1748 +0.1% -9.5% 97% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 1% -9.3%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

101d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1703 / 45
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1748 / 1748
History coverage101d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1748 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.09 · official $5.09 (match) · 3477 history records