Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:40:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbd8b…2fdf
crypto · 145 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$52 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses35 / 110
Open positions0
Markets (closed)145 / 145
History coverage9d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day26.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$12
14 days−$52
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$4 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$2 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-52.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -63.3% -66.8% 21% 16% -47.4%
≤30d 145 -47.2% -52.2% 24% 23% -29.9%
≤90d 145 -47.2% -52.2% 24% 23% -29.9%
all 145 -47.2% -52.2% 24% 23% -29.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.2% 23% -29.9%
10% ← realistic here -56.8% 23% -36.6%
15% -61.0% 23% -42.7%
20% -64.8% 23% -48.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 322 history records