Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:34:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbda5…fa16
crypto · 946 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$74 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses697 / 249
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)946 / 946
History coverage70d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day39.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 0 History 946 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$201
14 days−$93
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 12? Jun 12 $16 −$3 -19%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 -3%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 11? Jun 11 $16 +$1 +4%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 −$4 -27%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 −$3 -21%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? Jun 11 $16 −$6 -35%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10? Jun 10 $30 −$3 -9%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $39 −$4 -9%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10? Jun 10 $25 $0 -2%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on June 10? Jun 10 $14 $0 -0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? Jun 10 $15 −$4 -25%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 9? Jun 09 $418 −$21 -5%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $47 −$2 -5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 9? Jun 09 $100 −$16 -16%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? Jun 09 $343 −$82 -24%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 9? Jun 09 $35 −$6 -18%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 9? Jun 09 $9 −$1 -9%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 9? Jun 09 $10 −$2 -24%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 8? Jun 08 $49 +$6 +12%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on June 8? Jun 08 $35 +$2 +6%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 8? Jun 08 $38 +$2 +5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 8? Jun 08 $24 +$1 +6%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 8? Jun 08 $70 +$8 +11%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on June 8? Jun 08 $25 +$1 +4%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 8? Jun 08 $19 +$1 +3%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $91 −$9 -10%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 8? Jun 08 $92 −$11 -12%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 8? Jun 08 $15 −$1 -5%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 on June 8? Jun 08 $19 −$4 -22%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 8? Jun 08 $30 −$5 -16%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? Jun 05 $114 −$11 -10%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 5? Jun 05 $34 +$4 +11%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $10 +$1 +8%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? Jun 05 $35 +$3 +10%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $28 +$5 +17%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 5? Jun 05 $30 −$5 -17%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $200? Jun 05 $6 $0 -2%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 5? Jun 05 $165 −$19 -11%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on June 5? Jun 05 $29 −$10 -36%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $205? Jun 05 $16 −$2 -13%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on June 5? Jun 05 $14 −$4 -28%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +2%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 4? Jun 04 $883 +$109 +12%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 4? Jun 04 $20 +$6 +28%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 4? Jun 04 $66 −$3 -5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 4? Jun 04 $20 −$1 -3%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 4? Jun 04 $25 $0 +1%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $26 −$5 -18%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $10 $0 -4%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 3? Jun 03 $32 +$2 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 46% +$348
tech 28% −$418
other 20% +$57
crypto 5% −$50
sports 1% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 12? SELL Yes 75¢ $13 46m
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 12? BUY Yes 91¢ $16 1h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on June 11? SELL No 94¢ $15 25h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 11? SELL No 90¢ $17 25h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 11? SELL Yes 67¢ $11 25h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 11? BUY No 86¢ $16 29h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 11? BUY Yes 90¢ $15 29h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? SELL No 71¢ $12 33h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? SELL No 53¢ $10 33h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on June 11? BUY No 96¢ $15 38h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? BUY No 81¢ $5 39h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? BUY No 89¢ $15 39h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? BUY No 80¢ $11 39h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10? SELL No 93¢ $15 47h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? SELL Down 78¢ $15 47h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 86¢ $16 47h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10? BUY No 95¢ $15 47h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10? SELL Yes 90¢ $25 47h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10? BUY Yes 91¢ $25 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on June 10? SELL Yes 96¢ $14 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10? SELL No 80¢ $13 2d
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? SELL Down 72¢ $21 2d
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 77¢ $5 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? SELL No 58¢ $11 2d
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 78¢ $18 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on June 10? BUY Yes 96¢ $14 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? BUY No 75¢ $15 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10? BUY No 93¢ $15 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 9? SELL No 35¢ $1 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 9? SELL No 35¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -7.7% -16.5% 30% 10% -18.0%
≤30d 209 -3.3% -12.5% 51% 19% -9.3%
≤90d 946 -1.2% -10.6% 74% 16% -9.8%
all 946 -1.2% -10.6% 74% 16% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 16% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 2% -18.4%
15% -27.0% 0% -26.3%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records