trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 33% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 22% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $104 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 22 | $105 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 05 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 27 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 07 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 18 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 16 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 31 | $214 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 22 | $214 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 16 | $214 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 14 | $214 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 06 | $214 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February? | Feb 25 | $184 | $0 | +0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 07 | $214 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 03 | $214 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 30 | $214 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 29 | $204 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 06 | $207 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 03 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $205 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 02 | $205 | $0 | -0% |