Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdaf…7733
crypto · 216 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$465 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$334 · open −$134
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$148
Realized−$334
Unrealized−$134
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses99 / 115
Open positions2
Markets (closed)214 / 216
History coverage5d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day85.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 214 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$315
7 days−$334
14 days−$334
30 days−$334
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 58¢ 48¢ $182 $148 −$34 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $207 +$58 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $412 +$51 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $130 −$25 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $169 −$24 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$32 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $206 +$155 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$32 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$75 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$81 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $129 −$125 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$13 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $182 −$88 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$24 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$68 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$40 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $129 −$78 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $155 +$52 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$22 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $154 +$79 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $232 +$55 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$27 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $155 −$150 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $149 +$67 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$16 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$467
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $94 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $89 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $56 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $120 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $169 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $209 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $86 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $27 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $163 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $104 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -4.2% -13.3% 46% 44% -15.8%
≤30d 214 -4.2% -13.3% 46% 44% -15.8%
≤90d 214 -4.2% -13.3% 46% 44% -15.8%
all 214 -4.2% -13.3% 46% 44% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 44% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 43% -23.9%
15% -29.2% 40% -31.2%
20% -36.1% 35% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $148.10 · official $158.80 · 503 history records