Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdc1…dbb3
crypto · 574 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$167 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$167 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses387 / 187
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)574 / 574
Avg bet$5
Trades / day49.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 574 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days+$3
14 days−$72
30 days−$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$166
other 4% −$1
sports 2% $0
politics 2% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 +0.1% -9.5% 67% 55% -8.6%
≤30d 574 -8.0% -16.8% 67% 47% -14.8%
≤90d 574 -8.0% -16.8% 67% 47% -14.8%
all 574 -8.0% -16.8% 67% 47% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 47% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 24% -22.9%
15% -32.0% 16% -30.4%
20% -38.7% 10% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1385 history records