Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:04:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdcb…b1ea
sports · 257 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$903 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$655 · open −$342
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$89
Realized+$655
Unrealized−$342
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses127 / 127
Est. fees paid−$314
Open positions3
Markets (closed)254 / 257
History coverage166d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$164
7 days+$295
14 days+$98
30 days+$879
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 38¢ 26¢ $127 $88 −$39 (-30%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 58¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 66¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 41¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 71¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Team Vitality 11¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 70¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 19¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 65¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 81¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Ultra Prime 12¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 51¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 37¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Team Falcons 51¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 80¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 28¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 14¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Esports Academy 54¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 62¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 66¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 43¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $116 +$13 +11%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $97 −$76 -78%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $87 +$58 +66%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $34 −$33 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $17 −$17 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $56 +$118 +210%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$69 +68%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $94 +$31 +34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $67 −$57 -85%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $69 +$63 +91%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $190 +$68 +36%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $248 +$96 +39%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $89 −$84 -94%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $89 −$88 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $53 +$133 +249%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $89 −$88 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $89 +$59 +66%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $36 −$35 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $23 −$22 -97%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $19 +$70 +360%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $101 +$59 +58%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $112 −$110 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $101 +$69 +68%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $101 +$15 +15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $78 −$77 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $21 +$118 +575%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $51 +$59 +116%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $61 +$27 +45%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $15 −$15 -97%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $34 +$70 +208%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 30 $221 +$48 +22%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 30 $56 +$31 +55%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $200 +$27 +14%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 29 $200 +$34 +17%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $59 −$44 -74%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 29 $47 −$1 -2%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $203 −$200 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 29 $201 +$32 +16%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $34 −$33 -98%
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 4 Winner May 28 $99 +$153 +155%
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 3 Winner May 28 $79 −$78 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $112 +$64 +57%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $89 −$88 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $92 −$90 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $87 −$86 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 27 $71 −$70 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $152 +$96 +63%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $95 +$65 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$401
other 0% −$82
crypto 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 38¢ $129 26m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 42¢ $129 43m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 33¢ $15 48m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 37¢ $101 49m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $20 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 64¢ $21 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $88 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $20 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Top Esports 9¢ $21 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 52¢ $98 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 39¢ $97 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 66¢ $100 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 93¢ $146 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 55¢ $87 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 20¢ $34 22h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 7¢ $17 26h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 95¢ $174 27h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 30¢ $56 27h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $171 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 58¢ $101 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 97¢ $125 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $94 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 8¢ $10 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $67 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $132 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $69 2d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $4 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $25 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $319 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $248 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +16.5% +5.4% 60% 60% +9.5%
≤30d 93 +12.1% +1.5% 59% 59% +0.7%
≤90d 251 -0.5% -10.0% 50% 49% -6.3%
all 254 +0.3% -9.2% 50% 50% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 50% -6.2%
10% -17.9% 43% -15.2%
15% -25.9% 37% -23.4%
20% -33.1% 30% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88.55 · official $88.56 (match) · 501 history records