Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdcc…0558
crypto · 1365 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,367 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,367 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,367
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses660 / 705
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1365 / 1365
Avg bet$34
Trades / day185.6
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1365 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,871
7 days+$2,038
14 days+$3,367
30 days+$3,367
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$32 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$15 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$65 +310%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $61 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$28 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$16 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$10 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$18 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$23 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$12 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$15 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$62 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$80 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$35 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$38 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$14 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$33 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$36 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$16 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,367
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $21 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $21 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $21 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $21 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $20 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $21 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $20 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $21 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $21 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 974 -1.5% -10.9% 43% 38% -8.9%
≤30d 1365 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 38% -7.6%
≤90d 1365 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 38% -7.6%
all 1365 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 38% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover185.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 38% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 29% -16.5%
15% -25.6% 21% -24.6%
20% -32.9% 16% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records