Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:37:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdd8…e281
sports · 50 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$14 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$10
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses27 / 18
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)45 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day61.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Nexus 69¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+44%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Washed 57¢ 23¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-60%)
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B XCLAN 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs UNiTY esports 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group Stage Four Angry Men 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team Bald (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs 4ikibamboni 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B XI Esport 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B struggletony 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BOMBA Team 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Nemiga Gaming 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Level UP 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Oxuji Esports 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage Spacestation Gaming 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs MODUS 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Team Liquid ID 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $2 +$1 +43%
Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Jun 12 $2 +$4 +188%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $2 +$1 +43%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team Bald (BO1) - The International Europe Open Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 12 $2 +$1 +64%
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Ivory (BO3) - The International Southeast Jun 12 $4 +$2 +61%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $4 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Ameri Jun 11 $2 +$2 +86%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $12 +$6 +52%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta Jun 11 $4 +$2 +41%
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN Leagu Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - Nort Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $8 +$1 +17%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $4 +$2 +54%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 11 $2 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +76%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Valorant: Looking For Home vs TrinitY (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Play Jun 11 $2 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$3 +149%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League SELL M80 100¢ $3 32m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D SELL Eintracht Spandau 100¢ $3 52m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $6 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 50¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 17¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 31¢ $2 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League SELL Cloud9 100¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL Ursa 93¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Washed 57¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $2 2h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ SELL OLDBOYS- 70¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY XCLAN 39¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Nexus 69¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $2 3h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 69¢ $2 3h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 76¢ $2 3h
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team Bald (BO1) - The International Europe Open BUY 4ikibamboni 75¢ $4 3h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu BUY MODUS 50¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $7 3h
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League BUY M80 79¢ $2 5h
Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League BUY Cloud9 34¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY struggletony 61¢ $2 5h
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open BUY Level UP 65¢ $2 5h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 44¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs SELL Clutchain 100¢ $3 5h
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Ivory (BO3) - The International Southeast SELL Mentality Monster 100¢ $7 5h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 56¢ $5 14h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 64¢ $2 14h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 61¢ $2 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -5.2% -14.3% 60% 60% -16.1%
≤30d 45 -5.2% -14.3% 60% 60% -16.1%
≤90d 45 -5.2% -14.3% 60% 60% -16.1%
all 45 -5.2% -14.3% 60% 60% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 60% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 51% -24.1%
15% -30.0% 42% -31.5%
20% -36.8% 29% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.99 · official $5.99 (match) · 89 history records