trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 10¢ | $85,230 | $124,840 | +$39,609 (+46%) |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 13¢ | 81¢ | $17,202 | $105,572 | +$88,370 (+514%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $57,285 | $66,557 | +$9,272 (+16%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 8¢ | $26,845 | $63,338 | +$36,493 (+136%) |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 74¢ | 81¢ | $54,945 | $60,143 | +$5,198 (+9%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | $52,091 | $55,534 | +$3,442 (+7%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | Boston Red Sox | 48¢ | 48¢ | $34,691 | $34,691 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $23,755 | $29,694 | +$5,939 (+25%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 | Under | 51¢ | 33¢ | $40,597 | $26,268 | −$14,328 (-35%) |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $23,891 | $25,882 | +$1,991 (+8%) |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5,971 | $8,956 | +$2,985 (+50%) |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $14,279 | $8,807 | −$5,472 (-38%) |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4,829 | $7,243 | +$2,414 (+50%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $9,527 | $6,606 | −$2,920 (-31%) |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $9,025 | $5,415 | −$3,610 (-40%) |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $7,832 | $4,733 | −$3,099 (-40%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $3,486 | $3,883 | +$397 (+11%) |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $9,225 | $1,721 | −$7,504 (-81%) |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1,521 | $1,681 | +$160 (+11%) |
| Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $8,019 | $1,473 | −$6,546 (-82%) |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $955 | $1,433 | +$478 (+50%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 48¢ | 68¢ | $984 | $1,394 | +$410 (+42%) |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2,831 | $1,281 | −$1,551 (-55%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | Under | 42¢ | 67¢ | $737 | $1,174 | +$437 (+59%) |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5,617 | $1,163 | −$4,455 (-79%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $8,258 | −$8,258 | -100% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 12 | $9,010 | −$9,010 | -100% |
| Spread: Bucks (-5.5) | Jun 12 | $29,039 | −$29,039 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | Jun 12 | $80,855 | −$80,662 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Mavericks | Jun 12 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |
| Will the fight end in the Round 2? | Jun 12 | $591 | −$591 | -100% |
| Will Australia win? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Magic | Jun 12 | $14,911 | −$14,911 | -100% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Jun 12 | $199,750 | −$199,750 | -100% |
| Spread: Raptors (-12.5) | Jun 12 | $13,368 | −$13,368 | -100% |
| Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $7,832 | −$7,832 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | Jun 12 | $353,860 | −$353,860 | -100% |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5) | Jun 12 | $698,107 | −$698,107 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | Jun 12 | $114,057 | −$114,057 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Jun 12 | $5,530 | −$5,530 | -100% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 | Jun 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | Jun 12 | $57,601 | −$57,601 | -100% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 | Jun 12 | $180,000 | −$180,000 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Hawks | Jun 12 | $1,729 | −$1,729 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Jun 12 | $4,651 | −$4,651 | -100% |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11? | Jun 12 | $194,706 | −$194,706 | -100% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? | Jun 12 | $128 | −$128 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Jun 12 | $48,028 | −$48,028 | -100% |
| Spread: Bulls (-6.5) | Jun 12 | $721 | −$721 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Cavaliers | Jun 12 | $7,247 | −$7,247 | -100% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 | Jun 12 | $159,361 | −$159,361 | -100% |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $505 | −$505 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $126 | −$126 | -100% |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $3,023 | −$3,023 | -100% |
| Spread: Nets (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $7,039 | −$7,039 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Jun 12 | $16,521 | −$16,521 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Jun 12 | $84,000 | −$84,000 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $61,604 | −$61,604 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Jun 12 | $14,189 | −$13,921 | -98% |
| Rockets vs. Kings | Jun 12 | $215,536 | −$215,536 | -100% |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Jun 12 | $50,800 | −$50,800 | -100% |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14? | Jun 12 | $19,124 | −$19,124 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 12 | $25,961 | −$25,961 | -100% |
| Spread: Raptors (-11.5) | Jun 12 | $34,148 | −$34,148 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $5,352 | −$5,352 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Jun 12 | $40,579 | −$40,579 | -100% |
| Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $254 | −$254 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14? | Jun 12 | $146,409 | −$146,409 | -100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Jun 12 | $5,105 | −$5,105 | -100% |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $59,057 | −$59,057 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Jun 12 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | Jun 12 | $35,536 | −$35,536 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 459 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -99.9% |
| ≤30d | 459 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -99.9% |
| ≤90d | 459 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -99.9% |
| all | 459 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -99.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -100.0% | 0% | -99.9% |
| 10% | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 20% | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |