Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:30:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbde7…89eb
sports · 71 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$121 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$121 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$121
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses35 / 35
Est. fees paid−$82
Open positions1
Markets (closed)70 / 71
History coverage23d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day66.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 1 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days−$164
14 days−$141
30 days−$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
France vs. Ireland: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-In NEW VISION 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? No 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage HEROIC Academy 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
France vs. Ireland: O/U 1.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Over 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-09? No 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? No 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $686 −$25 -4%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $15 −$11 -70%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $130 +$4 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $15 −$4 -26%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $468 +$16 +3%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $19 −$11 -59%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $161 +$68 +42%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $190 +$18 +9%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $160 −$15 -9%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $90 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $12 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $177 −$9 -5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $23 −$3 -11%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -58%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $20 −$9 -45%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $92 +$2 +2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $50 −$20 -40%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $36 $0 +1%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $20 −$1 -7%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $20 $0 +1%
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $35 −$4 -12%
Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $21 +$8 +38%
Will France win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $40 −$8 -20%
France vs. Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
France vs. Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $415 +$20 +5%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $15 −$15 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $42 +$7 +17%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $75 −$8 -11%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $16 +$2 +12%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $60 +$5 +9%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $40 −$10 -24%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $37 −$17 -48%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $63 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20 −$2 -10%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 08 $135 +$11 +8%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $129 −$6 -5%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 −$4 -71%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $91 −$26 -28%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $32 −$12 -36%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 08 $55 +$28 +51%
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? Jun 08 $488 −$112 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% −$41
other 44% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 26¢ $4 53m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 27¢ $5 53m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 74¢ $82 53m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 75¢ $50 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 72¢ $49 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 73¢ $50 58m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $5 59m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 46¢ $95 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 47¢ $50 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 47¢ $51 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 46¢ $93 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 44¢ $51 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-30.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -31.3% -37.8% 40% 11% -12.9%
≤30d 70 -23.3% -30.6% 50% 16% -11.5%
≤90d 70 -23.3% -30.6% 50% 16% -11.5%
all 70 -23.3% -30.6% 50% 16% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.6% 16% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -37.2% 7% -19.9%
15% -43.3% 6% -27.7%
20% -48.9% 1% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.65 · official $1.65 (match) · 1563 history records