trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 42% | 25% | -21.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 42% | 25% | -21.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 42% | 25% | -21.7% |
| all | 12 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 42% | 25% | -21.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -20.0% | 25% | -21.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -27.7% | 0% | -29.2% |
| 15% | -34.7% | 0% | -36.0% |
| 20% | -41.1% | 0% | -42.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 25¢ | 20¢ | $504 | $392 | −$112 (-22%) |
| Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 65¢ | 60¢ | $370 | $344 | −$26 (-7%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | No | 89¢ | 80¢ | $381 | $343 | −$38 (-10%) |
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | Yes | 49¢ | 50¢ | $245 | $252 | +$8 (+3%) |
| Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $151 | $206 | +$55 (+37%) |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 29¢ | 30¢ | $145 | $152 | +$8 (+5%) |
| Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $40 | $6 | −$34 (-86%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | No | 15¢ | 1¢ | $87 | $4 | −$83 (-96%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $23 | $1 | −$21 (-93%) |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $95 | $0 | −$95 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $39 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $1,332 | −$693 | -52% |
| Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $103 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $357 | −$12 | -3% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $870 | +$176 | +20% |
| Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $448 | −$73 | -16% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $452 | −$52 | -12% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $32 | −$31 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $397 | +$44 | +11% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $167 | −$7 | -4% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $236 | +$27 | +11% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $136 | +$9 | +7% |