trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -32.0% | -38.4% | 30% | 30% | -37.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -32.0% | -38.4% | 30% | 30% | -37.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -32.0% | -38.4% | 30% | 30% | -37.1% |
| all | 26 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 42% | 42% | -24.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.0% | 42% | -24.0% |
| 10% | -32.2% | 42% | -31.2% |
| 15% | -38.8% | 38% | -37.9% |
| 20% | -44.8% | 15% | -44.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 71¢ | 70¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $2 | +$1 | +39% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$1 | -42% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -41% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $2 | +$3 | +165% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +60% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -70% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025? | Mar 01 | $1 | +$1 | +113% |
| Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | Oct 26 | $1 | $0 | +37% |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Oct 26 | $2 | $0 | +23% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025? | Oct 03 | $1 | −$1 | -88% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025? | Jul 07 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frieren win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025? | May 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trump tariff on EU alcohol before May? | May 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | May 09 | $2 | +$1 | +45% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | +37% |
| Ukraine election called in 2025? | Mar 13 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1? | Mar 13 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February? | Feb 28 | $3 | +$3 | +102% |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Feb 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days? | Feb 27 | $1 | −$1 | -86% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26? | Feb 26 | $1 | +$1 | +50% |