trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -24.9% | -32.0% | 50% | 50% | -57.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -24.9% | -32.0% | 50% | 50% | -57.1% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -24.9% | -32.0% | 50% | 50% | -57.1% |
| all | 2 | -24.9% | -32.0% | 50% | 50% | -57.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.0% | 50% | -57.1% |
| 10% | -38.5% | 0% | -61.2% |
| 15% | -44.5% | 0% | -64.9% |
| 20% | -49.9% | 0% | -68.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 70¢ | 81¢ | $70 | $81 | +$11 (+16%) |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 48¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 6¢ | 3¢ | $26 | $12 | −$14 (-55%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $81 | −$52 | -64% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | Jun 23 | $14 | +$2 | +14% |