Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe2a…3f01
other · 1353 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$33 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1348 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1351 / 1353
History coverage114d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 2 History 1351 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Rainbow Six Siege: Kingzone vs Leviatán Esports - Game 1 Winner Kingzone 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video? No 99¢ 91¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Vaasan Palloseura 3 - 0 Kuopion Palloseura? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa - Who wins the tos Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Tampereen Ilves 2 - 2 Turun Palloseura? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? Jun 13 $4 +$3 +57%
Jecan/Pavel vs. Grevelius/Heinonen: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Yokoi vs. Chen: Total Games O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ferra vs. Bouchelaghem: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Li vs. Hontama: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Tim Weah: 5+ shots Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Nick Madrigal: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Joey Loperfido: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will Jordan L. Smith finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Kerim Alajbegović: 5+ shots Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: Polcanova (-1.5) vs Sato (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Game Handicap: Wen (-1.5) vs Shinozuka (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Odo vs. Hursey: Total Games O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Benjamin Tahirović: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Armin Gigović: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Owen Goodman: 4+ saves Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 0 - 2 Drogheda United FC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Galway United FC 1 - 0 Dundalk FC? Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: OC Safi 3 - 0 Kawkab AC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: OC Safi 2 - 2 Kawkab AC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: ONIC (-2.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+2.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: against All authority (-3.5) vs Young Ninjas (+ Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Sensano vs. Guevara: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Ayala vs. Fornasieri: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: BTR (-2.5) vs Team Liquid ID (+2.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Nishimura vs. Mushika: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Kim vs. Dellavedova: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Pavel Šulc: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Chanta vs. Hontama: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Lee Donggyeong: 1+ goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Billy Cook: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Obed Vargas: 1+ shots Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Erik Lira: 1+ assists Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% +$18
sports 47% +$13
politics 2% +$1
world 1% $0
finance 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
weather 1% $0
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 99¢ $5 12m
Rainbow Six Siege: Kingzone vs Leviatán Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Kingzone 99¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Vaasan Palloseura 3 - 0 Kuopion Palloseura? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Tampereen Ilves 2 - 2 Turun Palloseura? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa - Who wins the tos BUY Australia 100¢ $5 3h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 100¢ $5 3h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 4h
Jecan/Pavel vs. Grevelius/Heinonen: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 5h
Yokoi vs. Chen: Total Games O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 6h
Ferra vs. Bouchelaghem: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 7h
Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 10h
Li vs. Hontama: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 11h
Tim Weah: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Nick Madrigal: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 12h
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? BUY Yes 63¢ $4 12h
Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 13h
Joey Loperfido: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 13h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 14h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 16h
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? BUY No 99¢ $5 17h
Will Jordan L. Smith finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 100¢ $1 17h
Kerim Alajbegović: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $4 17h
Game Handicap: Polcanova (-1.5) vs Sato (+1.5) BUY Sato 99¢ $5 18h
Game Handicap: Wen (-1.5) vs Shinozuka (+1.5) BUY Shinozuka 99¢ $4 18h
Odo vs. Hursey: Total Games O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 18h
Benjamin Tahirović: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
Armin Gigović: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand BUY Ekstrand 100¢ $5 19h
Owen Goodman: 4+ saves BUY No 99¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 +0.7% -8.9% 100% 1% -8.9%
≤30d 409 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 1163 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.1%
all 1351 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 1% -9.1%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.8%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.55 · official $9.55 (match) · 2996 history records