Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T18:10:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BE 0xbe30…8348 crypto 362 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1708 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$7,924 (+14%) realized +$7,960 · open −$36
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -57% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -67% what you keep after slip
Net edge-67%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate21%165W / 617L
Whale WR78%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$157per market
Trades / day1707.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$9now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,703
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1708 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-61.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 782 -57.1% -61.2% 21% 18% -15.1%
≤30d 782 -57.1% -61.2% 21% 18% -15.1%
≤90d 782 -57.1% -61.2% 21% 18% -15.1%
all 782 -57.1% -61.2% 21% 18% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1707.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -61.2% 18% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -64.9% 14% -23.2%
15% -68.3% 11% -30.6%
20% -71.4% 10% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -57% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 78% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -18% → late -97% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
8.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$81 vs −$27 · ×2.96 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$9
Realized+$7,960
Unrealized−$36
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses165 / 617
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)782 / 362
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$157
Trades / day1707.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 782 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 49¢ 96¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 73¢ 4¢ $38 $2 −$36 (-94%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 498 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 28 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 28 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 28 $123 −$123 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 28 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 28 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 28 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 28 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 28 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 28 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $38 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $115 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $24 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $31 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $77 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $34 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $205 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $6 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.37 · official $5.17 · 3500 history records